Higher interest rates signal housing market slowdown

The property market is bracing for the start of the slowdown in the rate of house price growth. The Halifax House Price Index for April showed average values were up 10.8% annually last month to a record £286,079. However, while prices rose for the tenth consecutive month by 1.1%, this was down from 1.5% in March and the annual growth rate has slipped from 11% in the previous two months. Halifax warned that the rate of house price growth is expected to slow as incomes are squeezed. Over the past year, prices for detached and semi-detached properties have risen by over 12%, compared to just 7.1% for flats, Halifax said. Commentators believe that for now, at least, despite the current economic uncertainty, the strong increases we’ve seen in house prices show little sign of abating. Demand in the housing market remains firm and mortgage servicing costs are relatively stable with fixed-rate deals making up around 80% of mortgages on homes across the industry, protecting many households from the effects of rate rises so far. However, the headwinds facing the wider economy cannot be ignored. The house price to income ratio is already at its highest ever level, and with interest rates on the rise and inflation further squeezing household budgets, it remains likely that the rate of house price growth will slow by the end of this year.

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